MARC LEISHMAN: Yeah, I grew up in it. So, Ive shot some good scores here but its beaten me up as well. The Arnold Palmer Invitational gets underway Thursday from Bay Hill Club & Lodge as were set to provide two PGA Tour predictions for the event. When I go to school, playing in this kind of wind fairly regularly, not all the time. Golfers that are great in the wind are generally elite ball-strikers or elite scrambling. This can be in a multitude of ways (off-the-tee, approach, tee-to-green, putting, total etc.) -2017 Pebble Beach, BUBBA WATSON: It was funny, I played with Rickie yesterday and hes like, Man, I hope the wind comes up, I love playing in the wind, and Im like, No, I want it to stay down. Is it something that you have to learn how to adjust to? We know what he's capable of, and his price is rapidly dropping. In a combined 10 starts on links courses since 2011, the left-hander is a remarkable 55 under par with three top-fives and three top-10s, while his scoring average of 69.36 is the best of the . 32-year-old Max Homa already has two outright wins tucked under his belt this season, starting at Fortinet in September and out-dueling Jon Rahm at the Farmers Insurance Open to storm back and win the event on Sunday. So I dont really know what to do on them. Obviously I adjusted shots. Do you consider yourself a good wind player prior to this? I have been teaching the game for more than 15 years and have been teaching professionally for 8 years. I mean, nobody likes playing in the rain but I would like it to be windy. Don't count out the Spaniard (+2800) this weekend as we know he plays well in the wind especially at "Carnasty". Which golfers play best in windy conditions? Alex Cejka (1.107 sg:wind vs. 0.689 sg:total) DeChambeau 5. Not a good week. Bud Cauley (0.964 sg:wind vs. 1.37 sg:total) Thank you for all you do Josh! I do have the best job in the world, for me. it is a links course and is designed with wind in mind. IAN POULTER: Yeah, I definitely think, for me, I like the way the golf course sets up in the wind. Max Homa: $11,600 Also, based on the graph, the max strokes gained is just over 1, but max strokes lost is -1.5. Do you like the windy conditions? There is some severe slopes out there and then, again, the wind blows. Anirban Lahiri ($7,800) | T51. -2014 Houston Open, Pingback: Several Shades of Golf | The Dirt Canon, Pingback: The Open Championship Fantasy Preview - Daily Fantasy Sports Analysis - Fantasy Sports - Future Of Fantasy, Pingback: Hyundai Tournament of Champions Fantasy Preview, Pingback: Sony Open in Hawaii Fantasy Preview. Can someone explain the meaning of : Id say I like it when its challenging. Are you looking to contact Customer Support about a subscription or account related question? Ive played enough golf through the years now to know my game suits kind of windy, tough conditions. Q. Matt. The weather bared its teeth on Saturday with nasty wind conditions, but the 36-hole leader is still hanging in CBSSports.com . There are many factors that affect how far a golfer can hit their 9 iron. This makes sense because the PGA Tour average for the hole was 4.1 and you made a 3. Rory McIlroy: $10,600 Over the past 24 rounds on difficult courses, Zalatoris ranks fifth in the field in SG: TOT. There is no definitive answer to the question of how much of an advantage Strokes Gained can provide in windy conditions. Can you also please update your Performance in Cold Weather report? Well, with the wind, like I said, the course had to be very challenging. Arnold Palmer . Also, underrated. It was really good, especially in the conditions. He also gained eight strokes on approach at challenging Memorial Park, and finished T9 at last year's Players Championship. -2018 U.S. Open, Q. Youre the only player thats obviously won each of the tournaments in Texas. Gambling problem? -2019 Sentry TOC at Kapalua, ABRAHAM ANCER: This golf course is very tricky, the greens are very tough, we all struggled especially yesterday and the first day. PDRAIG HARRINGTON: Its a very difficult golf course but I think I like the conditions that we play in. So I played well in the wind before and I think growing up in it certainly helps. Rory McIlroy . It's the average number of strokesthe actual number of strokes. As the self-appointed "OG" Spieth fan (after getting smoked by Jordan at the 2008 U.S. Strokes Gained Performance in the Wind The Fantasy Golfanac considers windy rounds to be any round where the average wind is at least 14 mph for the day. I see lots of wind, which I know plays into my favor. So its not that I love it; but I tend to do a little bit better on it. Palmer saved his best for last with a three-hole finish that ranges from the 16th hole that is a par 5 at 511 yards, pivoting to a 223-yard par 3 on the 17th hole, and concluding with a par 4 on the 18th with an approach shot over an enormous pond. SG: Wind is the adjusted strokes gained per round when playing on a day where average wind speeds were greater than 14 mph. Sure thing. James Hahn (0.639 sg:wind vs. 1.001 sg:total) The raw emotion of coming up short on the PGA Tour. Pingback: 2017 U.S. Open DFS Golf Outlook - Fantasy Six Pack. Ive been playing professionally for 20 years, and I know that you cant speed up, and when you take things a lot slower, I always listened to Freddie when he told me, when its breezy, swing easy. -2018 Masters, Q. BRIAN HARMAN: I switched golf balls, and its made a huge difference. McIIroy 2. -2018 Nine Bridges, Q. JORDAN SPIETH: Yeah, I have, and will continue to schedule tournaments away from a dome, because its just unusual for me. Sergio shows up high on the list and he backs it up with quotes including this one from the '14 Houston Open, "I do like playing in the wind. Jimmy Walker (1.69 sg:wind vs. 1.284 sg:total) PGAgolfbets has identified the following Key Performance Statistics for this week's Arnold Palmer Invitational. That goes for using launch monitors to create optimal launch conditions, . Certainly there were some windy days in Texas. Shouldnt be much movement in two weeks but I just updated. Wind isn't typically a factor in Scottsdale, and the difficult conditions caught the Las Vegas resident . Shane Lowry (1.751 sg:wind vs. 1.356 sg:total) Think of it like comparing your driver's average distance to that of the PGA Tour average. The wind is going to howl: . My expertise is working with everyone from beginners to pros, We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites. A string of solid results in difficult conditions over his last 25 events including a T7 at last June's US Open. CAMERON SMITH: Im from Australia. your ability to handle the wind here and that type of thing? I love playing in this stuff. He gained an impressive eight strokes on approach. I was like thats just going to make me frustrated. Daniel Berger (1.901 sg:total) Whether youre new to daily fantasy golf or a seasoned professional, be sure to check out ourDaily Fantasy Golf Glossary. Back him at +100 or better for a top-10 finish. PATRICK REED: I am from Texas. Dynasty Rookie Draft Profile: Sean Tucker (2023 Fantasy Football), No, I'm a California resident looking for the California Consumer Privacy Act form. -2017 Alfred Dunhill Links, SEAN OHAIR: Yeah, I always feel comfortable in Texas. For large-field tournaments, you can utilize ourLineup Optimizer to effortlessly create up to 150 lineups, or use our Lineup Builder if you like to hand-build your lineups. Strokes Gained Around the Green: Bermuda . There are challenging run-off areas that will be collecting golf balls all week. So if you hit a 5-yard cut, its going to be probably a 10-yard cut into the wind. Let's talk stats. The gap seems to widen as handicaps get higher. Amateur in 2009 and the Senior PGA Championship in 2021. Expected Strokes Gained= baseline performance for all round (adjusted to strength of field). Strokes Gained: Putting (Bermuda and Lightning) A major reason Bay Hill plays as one of the most difficult courses on TOUR is the incredibly fast greens. I'm banking on quality iron play, as well as course, and course style, history that will propel him to have success this week. Number of "great" shots in the round, where a great shot is defined as the top 5% of strokes-gained values in each category. Disclaimer: The views, opinions, and commentary in this post belong to its author and do not necessarily represent the Tour Junkies as a whole. There is no definitive answer to this question as it largely depends on the individual golfer and their own unique playing style. Garcia 6. Rory McIlroy (2.794 sg:total) To have it be windier, I feel like it plays into the kind of golf Im used to playing. A great way to improve your putting is to spend at least 50% of your practice time on the green. Also, we saw a very good display of putting for 3 of the 4 days at The Country Club. He's also a yuge Patty Tavatanakit stan. If you look back at my first year on Tour, its really difficult to play with the wind, in links golf and cold. Nick Taylor (1.296 sg:wind vs. 0.856 sg:total) Hes also 37th in SG: Putting on fast Bermuda greens. Approach shots are a very important part of the game of golf. Any chance we can get an update before the windy Masters? So, I know the year I won it was real windy and I played well at Honda this year in the wind and so I feel like Im a good wind player. Hogan himself said that her swing was the best he had ever seen. You still have to be on. Maybe I have lower expectations, Im not sure what it is. BRANDEN GRACE: You know, you have to be precise, you have to pretty much work out a plan attacking the greens. Get Your First Deposit Matched Up to $100! Grew up in Oklahoma, live in Florida now, its windy every day, so and its kind of what Im used to. It is a Par 72 of 7,506 yards and is an exposed parklands that can be susceptible to windy conditions. Rose 10. Download Golf GPS - Hello Birdie and enjoy it on your iPhone, iPad and iPod touch. Patrick Cantlay 10. If youre playing well and striking the ball well you dont mind. Another is quantifying performance under pressure, a topic . Also he hits the ball so high it is more difficult to get control of it. McIlroy is the third most expensive player on the slate but hes still $900 cheaper than Jon Rahm and $300 cheaper than Scheffler, so lock the talented veteran into lineups with the utmost confidence. An event taking place on a difficult course? SG: Putting (Bermuda and Lightning) over past 24 rounds: Beau Hossler (+24.9) (+20000) Some golfers are able to make small adjustments that allow them to hit the ball straighter and closer to their target, while others may find that the wind disrupts their swing so much that they end up losing strokes. It was particularly enjoyable today because I shot a good score, but some days are tougher than others. The formula is simple. CHARLEY HOFFMAN: Yeah, Ive had success in the wind, which is nice. Coming from Southern California youre kind of in a bubble with perfect weather and no wind. Now youve played so well over the first two days, would you like the weather to kind of stay the way it is? I feel like I can control my ball in the wind a little bit better. However, it does more than simply analyze a player's skill level. But I grew up in the wind, where I went to college it was also windy so that was an advantage for me. ADAM SCOTT: Maybe. Strokes Gained can help golfers achieve this by providing them with the information they need to make the correct shot selection. Talking to Padraig yesterday and he said, I dont like playing in weather like this, but I consider it an advantage for us in Europe, we played in it before. I feel like a decent wind player so thats kind of always an issue at this course it seems like. What Would It Cost the Raiders to Move Up to No. DFS GPP Pivot Plays | Genesis Scottish Open 2022, Results from the John Deere Classic Pivot Point, DraftKings GPP Pivot Plays for the 2022 Genesis Scottish Open. Cameron Smith (0.95 sg:wind vs. 1.289 sg:total) Your position? Do Not Sell My Personal Information. . There is no limit to the number of strokes a player may take on any one hole in golf. Ive identified six of my favorite plays and will explain why each one should be treated as a priority edition to your DFS lineups. Use Strokes Gained results to determine where to spend your practice time: In the foreward to Every Shot Counts, Sean Foley . KIRADECH APHIBARNRAT: Yeah, I spend a couple years on The European Tour and that experience bring me up to this position at the moment. He flashed at the U.S. Open before falling off on Saturday. You don't currently have any notifications. -2018 TOC, Q. However, the general consensus is that it can give golfers a significant edge, especially if they are able to control their ball flight. 21st - strokes gained off the tee over the last 24 rounds played. You never know out here. Hi Josh can you please refresh this set of data? You have to make sure trying to hit the fairways. Day 8. The winds blowing you all over out there and you got to kind of manipulate it and thats how I play anyway, so I think that helps. The field this week will consist of 156 players, including 20 PGA professionals. The tee shot on a par 3 is also considered an approach shot. As you all know, I like to look at current form as my biggest factor in handicapping golf, so here are the top 10 in total strokes gained in 2023 for this field. They are where golfers lose the most strokes. . 1. He can crack the driver, averaging 306 yards per attempt, so hes built for success at Bay Hill. It appears now that they only let me go and look at the last few previews you wrote. Thomas Pieters (2.741 sg:total) The strokes-gained cutoffs by category are OTT: 0.3, APP: 0.55, ARG: 0.55, PUTT: 0.65. Hideki Matsuyama (2.861 sg:wind vs. 2.408 sg:total) Realign and repeat a third time, and hopefully get to 'row' away this time, but only if the . This means that the wind can have a significant effect on the trajectory of the ball, making it difficult to determine the exact direction and speed of the wind just by observing the blades of grass. -2017 Valero, Q. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling: If you or a loved one is experiencing problems with gambling and needs support, That tells when you youre hitting it good. JT 4. Keep up the good work! Do you see any sort of advantage? But I think its just a great layout for the predominant wind you get here off the ocean, you get a lot of crosswinds and I tend to play well in the wind so I think thats kind of why it fits my game. Im just showing the data. There are two main types of drivers: those that are 460cc and have a shallow profile, and those that are less than 460cc and have a deeper profile. Wind Anti-Specialists are the golfers whose performance in windy rounds is the lowest when comparing to their baseline. Any time I have seen him he has played poorly. The course also hosted the U.S. Patrick Reed (2.051 sg:total) I enjoy the challenge, I think, more than actually the wind. The cliff notes version is that you can use SimLeverage to quickly find leverage plays in tournaments, while Perfect% is great for finding the best price-considered plays for cash games. Jamie Lovemark (1.931 sg:wind vs. 1.285 sg:total) Burns ranks sixth in one-putt percentage, sixth putting from 10 feet, and performs his best in the third round, averaging 66.8 on his scorecard. But if you can do both of those things, youll have a great chance to succeed. This would be classed as a tough hole on tour. It blows 40 and rains every day it seems like. So sure, the wind definitely blows in Texas. Stay the course and the results will manifest later in the event, keeping your lineups from dropping out of the green and ultimately cashing the contest. Brandt Snedeker (2.036 sg:wind vs. 1.651 sg:total) He's coming off a strong week at Riviera (T9) and a good showing last year at Bay Hill (T5). Was that your mindset going in? Wesley Bryan (-0.48 sg:wind vs. 0.336 sg:total) So it may not always look pretty but guys like DJ, Rory, J Day, JB, etc. It's near impossible to consider wind by wave and/or player as gusts can come and go by the hour or even by the minute. DeChambeau 6. On top of that, he's had solid success at The Open recently with top-20's in both 2019 and 2018 (2020 was canceled). Unless otherwise noted, strokes gained stats are taken from the player's last 50 rounds and are a way to use golf statistics relative to the field and round played. Ernie Els (0.871 sg:wind vs. 0.434 sg:total) Does Anti-specialist mean they are bad wind players? Hopefully we get some wind tomorrow and see what happens. -2017 TPC Summerlin, Q. The Arnold Palmer Invitational is the main event on the PGA Tour this week, but the Puerto Rico Open is an intriguing tournament. My game suits these conditions better. -2016 Hero World Challenge, Albany, Q. He is also a great putter. Some golfers may find that they are actually able to gain an advantage by playing in windy conditions, while others may find that the wind simply makes it more difficult to score well. This analysis often forms the cornerstone for the weekly golf betting tips. Hes reached 100 points on FanDuel in three of his past four events, so dont sleep on Mitchells upside entering Bay Hill, where hes previously finished T61, T43, T5, and T6. In windy conditions, the ability to hit a low, controlled shot is often the key to success. . RUSSELL KNOX: Oh, I want it nasty. Is that mere coincidence or do you think theres something about that in terms of like Thats the awesome thing about living over there in Houston. I use your specialist documents weekly in my DFS preparation. If you don't make the first putt but make the second one, the Strokes Gained on that shot would be -0.5 (1.5-2). Here, well outline two picks across the various markets using a custom statistical model. Do you play well in the bad conditions? If you cant hit the ball well or scramble well, youre going to have a tough time. I enjoy it, Patrick does, too. Do you consider yourself a natural wind player? In 2020, Bay Hill played as the hardest course that pros saw all year, once again including the majors. The difference isnt as extreme as approach shots, but they are still very significant. Gary Woodland +9000 finished T5 here in tough conditions last season and is coming into this week on a decent run of form which topped out at the Genesis Invitational where he gained 9.7 strokes . 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