Everytime Derrick Henry played this team, you could expect him to have a big day. The dip to 53 percent in 21-plus point games is enough to qualify those plays as garbage time. Contrary to Shanahans praise and PFFs grading system, theres still a fan contingent who feel certain Cousins is a garbage-time stat-sheet stuffer. Stop making excuses for him. Down by 21 or more points at any time Check out the second column in our chart. Today were going to look at Cousins quality of play when the game is still hanging in the balance versus how it stacks up to his play when inevitable defeat gives him the freedom to let it loose. Let's look at some numbers, shall we? Or is he an inconsistent performer who likes to feast on soft garbage-time coverage? Lock completed just 55.7% of his passes for 5.2 yards per attempt in situations where opposing defenses generally ease off the throttle and allow some easy completions over the middle. They completely ignored that side of the field. Matthew Stafford was sacked 12 times when the Lions were trailing by two scores, which is troubling. I havent watched enough Texans games this year to say one way or the other what Watsons season has been like, but I remember everyone thought Blake Bortles was on the cusp of being elite when he gained massive garbage-time stats early in his career with the Jags. I wonder if the WFT has the cajones? To do this, I examined every single offensive snap from the 2012 season through 12 weeks. Using these guidelines, Tanier found out that Cousins attempted 65 passes in these types of situations during the 2020 season, which wasnt even the most in the NFL. Head coach John Harbaugh made sure the Ravens kept the 100-yard rushing streak alive with this final run from Lamar Jackson. Bill OBrien destroyed this roster with his completely inept GM work. "Waste Time With Us!" Brought to you by Manscaped! Related | Dynasty Wide Receiver Rankings: Top assets heading into 2021. He rushed 7 times in the fourth quarter of the teams 43-17 win over the 49ers. Thats a broad definition that includes some still-competitive situations, like when a team is trailing 26-10 early in the third quarter. This will give us a much better definition of what garbage time really is. A QB at the end of the day is responsible for POINTS, period. Minshew is the best QB on our roster and no one wants too talk about it. He tacks on some meaningless statistical production that obscures a less-than-stellar performance in the rest of the game. To make it easy to read, teams are sorted by their pass rates under normal game circumstances. Jalen Hurts has accounted for 40% of Eagles rush attempts (53 of 132). But he completely turned around his performance after Minnesotas bye week and he played a huge part in the team getting back into the playoff hunt. All-time Scores, Find a Score. 2021 NFL Season Standard Player Stats Passing Rushing Receiving Scrimmage Stats Defense Kicking Punting Kick & Punt Returns Scoring Fantasy Player Stats Player Fantasy Ranks Red Zone Passing Red Zone Rushing Red Zone Receiving Defense vs. Pos RB TE QB WR Weeks Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12 When do you declare garbage time in time and points differences? The Chiefs are the leagues 11th pass-heaviest team in garbage time, which is why, despite the run-heaviest philosophy in the league, theyre only the leagues eighth pass-heaviest team. But if nothing else, this three-game losing skid has to put a dampener on the expectations for this season. Offense . Minshew completed 61.8% of his passes and averaged 6.6 yards per attempt in garbage time last year. Its hard to define, but we all know it when we see it. Power Rankings Cowboys' Dak Prescott: Produces in garbage time By RotoWire Staff Nov 7, 2021 at 5:12 pm ET 1 min read Prescott completed 19 of 39 passes for 232 yards, two touchdowns and one. Which player has won the most Super Bowls? Rivers, Brady) and/or are no longer in the league (e.g. When you compile all of Kirk's production in garbage time from 2020, his numbers are: 55/78 (70.5 completion%) 704 passing yards 7 touchdowns 0 interceptions 128.36 passer rating The browser you are using is no longer supported on this site. You might suspect that Minnesota Vikings QB Kirk Cousins is one of the kings of garbage-time production. How much of that was end of game bush yards? Watson is probably due for more beatings unless he can force a trade. One of the main talking points centered around Hurts has been when he generates most of his yardage. On February 23, 2017, it was announced that Garbage Time would either be retooled from its current format, or Fox Sports would find a new hosting vehicle for Nolan. OBrien ruined that team for the next 2-3 years minimum. Television. Carter II's journey from West Point to NFL, With great stats and a 4-12 record, Deshaun Watson had an unprecedented season, Aaron Rodgers has concluded his darkness retreat, Lamar Jacksons camp leaks some information to Stephen A. Smith, Report: Derek Carr wants $35 million per year, Darkness retreat over, decision time arrives for Aaron Rodgers, Michael Irvins lawyer is mad as hell that Marriott refuses to produce surveillance video, Former Chiefs teammates rip LeSean McCoy, defend Eric Bieniemy, Tua Tagovailoa turns to Judo to avoid head injuries when falling, XFL 3.0 debuts to significantly lower ratings than XFL 2.0, https://www.nfl.com/players/deshaun-watson/stats/situational. Empty calories like those will keep Mullens in the NFL as a dependable veteran backup for a long time. Siemian spent last season on the practice squad and looked like thats where he belonged in this outing. That being the case, play-calling remains aligned fairly well with league average. He threw two terrible interceptions, one of them returned 50 yards for a touchdown by Slay, and was missing open receivers all day. The last way I chose to examine the data was by how one's rate stats in garbage time compare to his equivalent overall stats during the 3-year window. The bizarre garbage time metric is usually defined by a team trailing in the 4th Quarter by 14+ points. Edit: in fact I bet stats like this can be directly tied to the point differential. The Eagles went into 2021 with the mindset that they need to make one of two decisions moving forward: Hurts has made his fair share of poor decisions and questionable throws early on, but the on-field production is there. Never before in NFL history had a quarterback lost more than five such games in a season. Copyright 2019-2023. Do you use those same assets to acquire a new quarterback via draft or trade. Five of Cousins garbage-time touchdowns in 2020 happened during the fourth quarter of a matchup, but only one of these came during Minnesotas final 10 games of the season. So basically a three possession game at any time in Q3 or a two possession game at any time in Q4*. The Eagles should have offered Wentz for Watson, while Obrien was still the GM. Register now! I don't really know, to be honest. You also know that garbage time can inflate the stats of some players or NFL teams. For more information, please see our Nick Sirianni hasnt done Hurts many favors with the playcalling either. Thats because while quarterbacks and receivers play catch-up in losses, running backs are generally called upon to squat on leads. Thats nearly double the league-wide 38 percent rate for teams ahead by four-to-six points in the fourth quarter. The yardage ranking is upper middle, along with other so-called kings of garbage time (Ryan, Stafford, etc. Ha Kung Wong and Joanne Kong of Football Garbage Time discuss their scare of the week, the 2022 movie "X", and the four player prop bets they dare to make for Week 14 of the 2022 NFL season! Unfortunately for Watson, the Texans are in bad salary cap shape and dont have a first-round pick or a second-round pick next season. That means that 22.5% of his career pass attempts occurred when his Jacksonville Jaguars were getting blown out. We the kings of garbage time! He completed 70.9% of his garbage-time attempts for 7 touchdowns. Receivers are at the mercy of their quarterbacks, even in lopsided losses. https://www.nfl.com/players/deshaun-watson/stats/situational. If they survived 28-3 I think they're good. For our purposes, garbage time is when a team is trailing by 16 points or more in the second half of a game. Garbage Time is when one team is blowing out the other with nominal time left in the game and little chance for a comeback.. With that as the biggest factor (not to mention our other garbage time qualifications), winning teams high on the pass rate list (like Atlanta and Green Bay), wont be quite as high on the unadjusted play-calling list. Its clear that fourth quarter play-calling is not a good indicator of a teams offensive philosophy. But lets focus on what really happened here: the Saints offense looked just as pathetic as youd expect with half a dozen starters missing. Team Gms Plays Rush Rush% Pass Pass% Tampa Bay Buccaneers Tampa Bay: 17: 1159: 386: 33.3: 773: 66.7: Los Angeles Chargers LA . The 2022 NFL Offensive Play Selection statistics are a summary of all offensive plays from scrimmage excluding punts, field goal attempts and plays nullified by penalty. Those quarterbacks were: Peyton Manning in 2004, when the Colts went 12-4. While his final totals are typically among the NFLs best, do they tell the full story about his abilities as a quarterback? Youll never catch me scoffing at a quarterback with a triple-digit passer rating. The defense was terrible, despite having players like Watt, Mercillus and Cunningham, a tackling machine but they couldnt cover anybody. Were aware of it. Is Minnesota Vikings quarterback Kirk Cousins guilty of padding his stats when trailing in the fourth quarter? He never even put on his helmet and was functionally standing inside an invisible glass box labeled break in case of emergency. Hill didnt play a single snap in his usual position-less role. Taysom Hill was the only other active quarterback with rookie draft pick Ian Book a healthy scratch, but Hills foot injury this week limited him to just one practice session and the Saints had no plans of getting him on the field. WFT on line 1, offering their 1st and 2nd for Watson. Trust me, as a fantasy owner those were mostly garbage time stats. The garbage time conundrum: when are most of Jalen Hurts stats generated? The Blitz says: NFL Premium Stats; NFL Player Grades; Free Agent Rankings; QB Annual 2022; About Player Grades; Social @PFF; Facebook; Instagram . NFL Fantasy College NFL Draft DFS Betting Defining 'Garbage Time' By mikeclay Nov 30, 2012 . Related | Kirk Cousins Contract Details, Salary Cap Impact, and Bonuses, Over the last three seasons, Kirk Cousins has completed a whopping 75.6% of his garbage-time passes for 13 touchdowns. The stats also show that he's prone to running more frequently in close games. After all, there are some very good, and very successful, QBs that have similar garbage time numbers to him, so I don't think one can clearly tie team success (or lack thereof) to meaningless QB volume stats. Atlanta). Ive watched this play from every angle multiple times and I just dont understand. You love it when your team is winning, hate it when the team is losing, and change the channel when you have no rooting or wagering interest in the blowout. When their opponents are taking them seriously and putting in the effort to pressure Siemian and challenge his receivers, Sean Payton hasnt had an answer for them. Zach Wilson Could Be An Option For The Minnesota Vikings, Minnesota Vikings News and Links, 1 March 2023, Leslie Frazier to take year away from coaching, Vikings Happy Hour: Minnesota Vikings 7-Round mock draft Pre-Combine Edition, Minnesota Vikings News and Links, 28 February 2023. Here's the overall passing numbers (sorted by attempts) for all 42 of the QBs in my sample set during the 2018-20 period: Cousins ranks 8th in yards, 2nd in completion percentage, 5th in TDs, 12th in Y/A, 7th in QB rating, and 9th in ANY/A (my preferred QB metric). It was already a bad day, but his deficiencies made it worse. Meanwhile, their opponent (well say Houston), is also going to be impacted by this game situation. 2020-21. Its brought us devastating losses. Follow Mike Clay on Twitter: @MikeClayNFL. Trading J.J. Watts for draft picks almost seems inevitable. As we are about to see, the most productive garbage-time receivers of last season were mostly excellent players trapped in dysfunctional offenses. AFC . Meaning, when the game is already out of hand and the only thing standing in the way of a Vikings defeat is the remaining minutes on the game clock, THAT is when Cousins comes alive. Staffords Los Angeles Rams wont get blown out nearly as often as the Detroit Lions did last year. The final score made this game look closer than it was the New. 3 receiver? ); the TD percentage is actually lower than guys like Brees and Brady; and the INT percentage is among guys like Rodgers, Wilson, and Lamar Jackson. Teams rarely trail by 21 points in the first quarter, but we do have some data to work with the rest of the way. The Green Bay Packers took a 41-10 lead over the Bears late in the third quarter in Week 12, but Robinson caught 4 fourth-quarter passes and scored a touchdown in what became a 41-25 final. That 92 percent mark is an NFL-high. Both are probably true to some degree. The first thing to notice is that the top of the list is populated by back ups and marginal starters - exactly as one would expect, since such guys often see a significant chunk of their work in mop-up duty. There shouldnt be any lofty expectations for Hurts to be a top-10 QB this year. Trade him to the raiders for Carr and Agholor. Related | Dynasty Running Back Rankings: Top assets heading into 2021. I'd think there is no real garbage time in the [first half]. Matt Ryan in 2016, when the Falcons went 11-5. Trailing in the fourth quarter Take a look at our first chart. And of course, there are those still holding out hope for Deshaun Watson whos saga is nowhere near a resolution. We all should know the term, when a team is behind two possessions or more in the fourth quarter, and there is not enough time for their offense to score those points and/or their defense hasn't been effective enough to keep the other team from running out the clock after a score. The only surprise here is that Aaron Jones averaged just 3.7 yards per attempt. Its not so much about Are they throwing lots of touchdown passes? as Is the TEAM scoring touchdowns, kicking field goals, and ensuring good field position? Despite his stats (which would suggest a top 10 offense), they actually didnt score a lot of points. Could there be factors other than the fear of an impending loss that enter into the equation? If some team trades for Minshew once the Jaguars lock into drafting Clemsons Trevor Lawrence, they should brace for a quarterback who is better at losing with groovy grace and dignity than one who will lead them to many victories. Every snap Hurts takes this season is being thoroughly analyzed by not only the fans but the organization itself. . Below is a table of the times the Vikings found themselves in garbage time last season and what Cousins' production from that point on looked like. It is almost a guarantee Watson gets shipped out by McDaniels and Caserio so they can bring in their guy. Every opponent has to be weighed on their own merits, and the Bills have enough firepower to give New Orleans trouble. Up four-to-six points, the pass rate falls to 38 percent. The bottom line is wins and losses. No ones throwing in the towel even down 21 in the first half.. As in, the coaching you had for much of the season was elementary school level, Texans are going to be bad for at leas 5 more years. You also know that garbage time can inflate the stats of some players or. Whether that's by design or due to Hurts bailing on plays early is another conversation. The QB isnt just paid to make great throws but manage and orchestrate an offensive performance, utilize his best players and inspire his teammates. The Minnesota Vikings QB completed 73.8% of his passes for a league-high 7 touchdowns when trailing by 16-plus points last year. Vikings promote Weatherly, waive Hillman; is the return of Adrian Petersonnext? Easy to lead stats for garbage time when the Cardinals have 6 games where the margin of defeat was 2-3 possessions or more lol. Very sad that he puts up stats like this and they lose.. We see that here, as we do not need to remove plays where a team is up 14-plus in the second or third quarter, or plays where a team is up 21-plus in the first half. Now Watt wants out. In the end, I think the numbers suggest that - like most things Cousins - his garbage time stat padding is more complicated and nuanced than his detractors OR supporters would probably like to believe. Minshews garbage-time method of operation is pretty straightforward. Thats barely below the 59 percent league average in the third quarter. Drake is a free agent in 2021, and its hard to get a read on his value after a good-not-great season. The only running back on our list. Up by 21 or more points in the second half You may notice that, in some scenarios, play-calling when ahead does not mirror play-calling when behind. Asking much too much. Minshew also attempted 78 garbage-time passes as a rookie in 2019. I am sure no one thinks one of the greatest receivers of all time is just a garbage time producer. It turns out that big-name running backs on powerhouse teams dont benefit much from garbage-time production. Should the Vikings trade for Jalen Ramsey? One cannot become THE Kirk Cousins without the gift of being able to throw a touchdown just before the two-minute warning of a 52-33 loss (Week 16 vs. the Saints). Pro Football Network, LLC. But I am fine with that, since the end of a game that is reasonably close - even if it didn't always look like it should be - should not be called garbage time. Watson is like Stafford, a great talent, who coaches get too greedy with, rather than blending in with a total team effort. It's good to be an elite QB with a great team, I guess. The stats also show that hes prone to running more frequently in close games. Over the past three years, weve heard plenty of explanations for Kirk Cousins propensity to irk Minnesota Vikings fans. Avoid those on teams that will do their best to run the ball (eg. Luck, Eli), nor did I do anything about teams changing offensive schemes or anything**. But you have to remember he had great games that no one remembers because we lost such as the first Saints game and the Bengals game, so he has still been underrated imo. For all those who are saying deshaun watson is getting his stats in garbage time 2021 NFL Season. That doesnt bode well for their upcoming game with the Buffalo Bills. Teams down by one-to-three points throw 69 percent of the time. Hopefully, after today, the garbage-time stat-sheet-stuffer narrative can finally be put to rest. Without removing the garbage-time production for the other quarterbacks throughout the rest of the NFL, Cousins 100.85 passer rating would have ranked 11th in 2020. The fact that Cooper averaged only 10.6 yards per catch is somewhat more surprising. Gardner Minshew, Nick Mullens, Drew Lock, and Matthew Stafford all attempted more throws than Cousins last season when their teams trailed by at least 16 points in the second half of a contest. Regular . The Bears should really consider a trade for Watson. The following production comes when the players team is. Garbage time is tough to define, says @jromeo288. Featured | Stats That Matter: Diontae Johnson and the NFLs dropped pass leaders. @jeff1317 defines garbage time as the time in which a game is out of hand and an offense is forced to change their strategy to comply with the current conditions. *I personally prefer a somewhat stricter definition than I am using here; for instance, I don't think "garbage time" can truly even begin with more than 20 minutes left in a game, since 20 minutes can be a LOT of football. Watsons performance this season was unprecedented, because ordinarily when a quarterback is playing at an MVP level, his team is winning. Its hard to be as bad as the Texans are when your quarterback is playing as well as Watson is, but the Texans found a way. 1. Football, has been, and continues to be, a team game. See NFL player statistics across every major statistical category. Garbage time. and our What should quickly jump off the page is the Falcons pass-heavy gameplan under new offensive coordinator Dirk Koetter. For example, teams down by between four and six points in the fourth quarter call pass 72 percent of the time. If you're down 21 in the forth and win it was never garbage time. He needs to do more and play better bottom line. NFL and Fox Sports 1 made a joint decision to choose Nolan as the new host. With Kenny Golladay hurt much of the season, Staffords options at wide receiver besides Jones included Danny Amendola, Quintez Cephus, and Mohamed Sanu. He was the Pass Game Coordinator for Simley and Mounds View HS and previously wrote for the Daily Thunder, FantasyPros, and Bleacher Report. 2017-18. Justin Jefferson is a phenomenal young player for the Minnesota Vikings. But hey, if Mike McCarthy thinks the best way to mount a comeback is with short passes to a player most coaches would consider an ideal vertical threat, who are we to argue with him? These stats reflect it. The Texans lost eight games this season in which Deshaun Watson threw 25 or more passes and had a passer rating over 100. 4. All - current. on Aug 24, 2021, 6:52pm CDT Pretty easy when the opposing team is playing prevent defense every game. In these garbage-time situations, Cousins tossed an NFL-high, seven touchdown passes and he completed 73.8 percent of his attempts. 2. To reach the conclusion that Cousins is apparently the meaningless-touchdown god, ProFootballNetwork.coms Mike Tanier set the criteria for garbage time to be classified as any time a team is trailing by 16 points or more in the second half of a matchup. Theyre a good two percentage points ahead of the Packers and Lions (64 percent). during Kirk's time in Minnesota. [] decent, but as we all know, many of those numbers came from garbage time, which seems to be an occurring theme for Hurts throughout the [], [] will be quick to tell you that a lot of the Eagles passing success has come in garbage time. Today, Ill be examining a variety of game situations to see which force teams to shy away from their usual play-calling. The Complete Minnesota Vikings Draft Pick Database, The Daily Norseman's Minnesota Vikings Twitter List, Xavier Rhodes Named NFC Defensive Player Of TheWeek, Minnesota Vikings Power Rankings Roundup: Week12, A Look At Minnesota Vikings ThanksgivingHistory, NFL Week 12: Minnesota Vikings at DetroitLions. The final score made this game look closer than it was the New Orleans Saints trailed the Philadelphia Eagles 33-7 going into the fourth quarter. And what about first-half blowouts? For our purposes, garbage time is when a team is trailing by 16 points or more in the second half of a game. Wed expect to see more carries for Arian Foster and fewer throws for Matt Schaub. My favorite comment comes towards the end of a reply from @omnicomin. However, notice that pass rates rise rapidly from the second quarter on when the team trails by 14-plus. The Indianapolis Colts took a 19-3 fourth-quarter lead over the Chicago Bears in Week 4, but Robinson caught 4 passes for 69 yards and a touchdown on the final Bears drive. And Deshaun Watson in 2020, when the Texans went 4-12. The second shows them under normal game circumstances. He had better stats then kyle Murray last year. Its almost as if the Minnesota Vikings QB sees a prevent defense at the end of a loss, rubs his palms together eagerly, and proclaims, Time to make my money!. After the Vikings bye in Week 7, however, the veteran quarterback didnt toss another garbage-time score until the teams Week 14 loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Despite Cousins passer rating of 68.6 and his 1-3 record as a starter during Shanahans stint as Washingtons offensive coordinator from 2011 to 2013, the San Francisco head coach continues to shower his former quarterback with praise any chance he gets. 21 Jan 2023 01:32:03 That means that 87 percent of the scores Cousins threw in the second half of Minnesotas final 10 games did not happen during garbage time. Barring a serious injury to Siemian, his job was just to hold a clipboard like any other backup in this league. Is Davis underutilized in an offense loaded with other weapons? Kirk Cousins: 90.8 PFF Grade in the 4th quarter/OT since 2019, 1st among QBs pic.twitter.com/pCU0ULJ7Px. 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