This will be Ims eighth start in nine weeks, which is an unsustainable pace, and we already started to see the wheels come off last weekend at the Honda Classic. Hes never played API, but hes been especially potent on Bermudagrass in his short career. 1 Jon Rahm will continue their battle for the top spot. Another surprise: Tony Finau, a 28-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. and he won the 2022 BMW PGA Championship over Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm, who both happen to be in the field this week. Obviously, we still have the 90/1 Luke List winner to fall back on. One of these golfers "has been experiencing a massive resurgence," the expert says, and this course is right up his alley. Riley Hamel. Its a coin flip to me who holds the belt at the end of the season, so Ill gladly take the plus money on the player with far better course history. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, Arnold Palmer Invitational picks 2023: Our red-hot experts make a consensus bet, thanks to Christopher Powers 30-1 win on Chris Kirk last week, Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge: Challenger/Champion, create the golf stats and research website Fantasy National. Click on the odds anywhere below to bet now on the best available prices in your state. He lost three strokes on approach at Riviera, a trend that has become more common for him than in any other point in his career. Wish it wouldve been his win at the Genesis but I still think he has win equity again this week and Im ready to burn him as a OaD play this week at Bay Hill. WebThe 9-hole China Creek Golf Course in Arlington, OR is a municipal golf course that opened in 2003. AT&T Pebble Beach: Maverick McNealy. McIlroy (19-2) and Scheffler (11-1) also are top contenders in the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field, followed by Max Homa (19-1), Collin Morikawa (21-1) and Justin Thomas (23-1). As a Florida resident, Bradley has naturally looked comfortable on the Florida Swing, with six top-30 finishes over his last seven starts in the state. Okay, I admit that it reminds me of the sixth at Hazeltine National, another Trent Jones product, but I don't think Wilson picked Trent's pocket on this one, as both courses were built about the same time, in the early 1960s. Poston. Elite drivers can separate themselves from the field on Bay Hill, as players like Bryson DeChambeau, Jason Day and Rory McIlroy have proven in recent years. He gained 7.86 strokes ball-striking at Riviera, the most in a single event since his win in Memphis, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. 2023 WM Phoenix Open: Rickie Fowler (Odds: +8000; Finish: T10)2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am: Beau Hossler (Odds +8000; Finish: T11)2023 Farmers Insurance Open: Rickie Fowler (Odds: +10000; Finish: T11)2023 Sony Open in Hawaii: Kurt Kitayama (Odds: +5000; Finish: T73)2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions: Ryan Brehm (Odds: +75000; Finish: T35). Touts are lame. But before we down our tools for the week, look at the odds of the most recent winners of the Genesis Invitational. He created the website thepgatout.com at the start of 2021 and is active on Twitter (@PGATout). The Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field features 44 of the world's top 50 golfers, and they are in for a difficult test. Past results: Ladies and gentlemen, we are officially heating up. Breaking down the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks for this week at Bay Hill with our best bets, One and Done selection and more PGA Tour expert picks. Build your customFanSided Daily email newsletter with news and analysis onAll Golf and all your favorite sports teams, TV shows, and more. The list of past champions and regular contenders is littered with those who have steadily contended in Majors, THE PLAYERS, or Ryder Cup and Presidents Cup atmospheres. The PGA Tour schedule continues this week in Orlando, Florida for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill Club and Lodge. Hes made it through the cut in each trip to TPC Scottsdale, highlighted by a T17 in 2021. ORLANDO, FLORIDA - MARCH 06: Viktor Hovland of Norway plays a shot on the sixth hole during the final round of the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard at Arnold Palmer Bay Hill Golf Course on March 06, 2022 in Orlando, Florida. I expect Im to miss the cut this week, which would likely be in his best interest anyway to get a couple days off before the Players Championship next week. Justin Thomas enters play in the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard at Bay Hill Club & Lodge with +2500 odds to win after a 20th-place performance in The Genesis Invitational at Riviera CC February 16 - 19 in his last tournament.Thomas has one win, and an average finish of 20th, in his 20 events during the past year In terms of DFS, this has proven to be a sticky week for course history. Yes, this is a tough field, but Lowry is not the type you write off in these spots. Christopher Powers, Golf Digest staff writer: Collin Morikawa (21-1, FanDuel) As much as Id love to make this a consensus Willy Z week, I have to stick with Morikawa, who came close for me at both Torrey and Riviera. Heres our pick, the betting favorites and everything else you need to know for the week. Final DraftKings Picks PGA DFS Lineups - The Honda Classic Invitational Daily Fantasy Golf Advice (Premium Content) LIV Golf Betting Picks - 2023 Mayakoba. Hahn enters this week in the midst of an 8-event stretch in which hes gained strokes on approach. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. For now, well assume equal playing conditions for the full field when determining top value plays until more information becomes available on tee times and Thursday/Friday weather reports. Each of the two rivals had claimed the other was always stealing his ideas. The odds arent pretty, but my gut tells me that either Rory McIlroy or Jon Rahm is winning at Arnies place this week and Im going with the slightly better odds. The Arnold Palmer Invitational Were getting value based on Rorys slow start on the West Coast, which was mainly short-game induced. He lost more than seven strokes putting in his latest start. Anonymous Caddie Picker of the week: Rory McIlroy (10-1, BetMGM) Im not sure how we ended up here after his insane 2022, but at the end of February Rorys already the forgotten man. Kings vs. Thunder prediction and odds for Tuesday, February 28 (Fade OKC again), MLB rumors: Gavin Lux, Manny Machado, insider info on 2 recent free-agent signings, Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 tee times, field, purse, odds and how to watch, LIV Golf Ratings Hold Steady at Horrid For Final Round of LIV Mayakoba, Honda Classic purse 2023: Payout by player, finishing position [Updated], Honda Classic live bets and odds ahead of Round 3, Its about time for a PGA-LPGA team event. Despite two disappointing finishes in Phoenix and Los Angeles, McIlroy was still brilliant from tee-to-greenlosing over eight strokes with the putter during that stretch. Mayo: Tom Kim (45-1, DraftKings) While hell likely be my pick to win next week, Kims odds have simply slipped too far for his upside this week. I love to pounce on players that are coming off an MC in which they gained strokes in both ball-striking categories, which was the case for Matsuyama at Riviera. Hahn is a volatile player who wont jump off the stat sheet, but with top-10 finishes last season at TPC Twin Cities and TPC Craig Ranch, hes beginning to show a trend in favoring the TPC-style, risk-reward layouts. Defending tournament champion Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy and current No. Pendrith is one of eight players in the field to rank top 15 in both Driving Distance and SG: OTT. The content on this site is for entertainment and educational purposes only. Sanderson Farms Championship: J.T. WMPO: Scottie Scheffler. Then it just comes down to the putter. I dont think he can make enough putts to contend. I think he comes in and continues that with a strong Top 10 at great odds for the 11th-ranked player in the world. Scroll down to read our best bets for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Hes clearly building toward a win with three top-six finishes in four starts in 2023, and if his short game continues to look like it did at the Genesis, that win is coming very soon. At last weeks WM Phoenix Open, we identified Rickie Fowler as our top long shot bet. RSM Classic: Davis Riley. At the British Open, four of Holliman's picks finished in the top eight, including Dustin Johnson (35-1) and Tommy Fleetwood (35-1). Its worth noting that Day has played more rounds than both of those guys. Brandon Gdula, managing editor and analyst for NumberFire, a FanDuel daily-fantasy analysis company, recently won the 2018 FSWA Golf Writer of the Year. Other top contenders in the 2023 Arnold Palmer field include McIlroy (19-2), Scheffler (11-1), Max Homa (19-1), Collin Morikawa (21-1), Justin Thomas (23-1), Xander American Express: Brian Harman. Final DraftKings Picks PGA DFS Lineups - The Honda Classic Invitational Daily Fantasy Golf Advice (Premium Content) LIV Golf Betting Picks - 2023 Mayakoba. The short game wont be an issue, and with the expected blustery conditions, Fleetwood is primed to notch his fourth top 10 at Bay Hill in seven starts. We provide this information about sports betting for entertainment purposes only. Mayo helped create the golf stats and research website Fantasy National along with the Race for the Mayo Cup One and Done contest. Matchup Results from the Honda Classic: Caddie: 1 for 1 (Griffin (+130) over Frittelli and O Hair, Round 1); Mayo: 1 for 1 (Meronk (+105) over C. Davis); Gehman: 1 for 1 (M.W. Powers: Will Zalatoris Morikawa is my main play, but Im going to have a lot of trouble not adding Zalatoris at the 11th hour on Wednesday evening. Another week, another punt on Byeong-hun An. Full Leaderboard . Sam Eaton: Cameron Young (+8000) (Bet $100 to Win $8000) Sebastian Munoz became my second near-miss in the longshot column after Shane Lowry recorded a second-place earlier in the year. Zalatoris has spoken only about the fact that his favorite style of golf is U.S. Open conditions, and with rock-hard greens and extremely thick rough, Bay Hill is about as close to a U.S.-Open-like setup well see all season. We warned you guys after Scottie Schefflers win in Phoenix once this panel gets hot, we tend to run hot! The 37-year-old earned his fifth PGA Tour win and first since 2015 at the 2023 Honda Classic on Sunday after beating rookie Eric Cole in a playoff at PGA National in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida. For more betting picks and advice, check out BetSided. I think in what has been a battle of titans early in the year, Rory puts his hat in the ring with a win. He is a passionate golf fan, golf writer, and (casual) golfer. In just his second year on TOUR, Pendrith has already accumulated 13 top-25 finishes, which span across comp courses like PGA National, Winged Foot and Torrey Pines. Lack: Rory McIlroy (+110) over Jon Rahm (PointsBet) This matchup will be extremely fun to track, as I believe Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm have emerged as far and away the two best players in the world. There is no one way to attack TPC Scottsdale, however a profile of elite ball striking has been the common thread amongst contenders here over the years. Sentry TOC: Patrick Cantlay. Jon Rahm and Scottie Scheffler have combined to win each of the first three elevated events of 2023. If youve been reading this column over the past month or so, youve been cashing tickets. I like him to contend, and this number is probably higher than it should be with Schefflers recent win and the win here last year. Golfweek - Adam Woodard 19h It pays to play well on the PGA Tour, just ask this weeks winner, Chris Kirk. Thats remarkable and, while it has made his outright odds tough to stomach, I think that the Top 5 odds are more than palatable at this price given that hes done that at an 80% rate so far this season. Although his history at Bay Hill isnt extensive, he did finish T-24 here in 2020, his lone start. Keegan is also one of the best in proximity on Par 3:150-200 yards, so he should have what it takes to survive the infamous Bear Trap, which features two par 3s measuring 179 and Four of the previous five champions have won with scores around 21- to 22-under par. Just a few weeks after going off at +2800 at the WM Phoenix Open another tournament with an elite field on a challenging course Kim is sitting at +5000 for the Arnold Palmer Invitational. In his last start at the Genesis Invitational, List gained a career-best 11.4 strokes on Approach. He is a passionate golf fan, golf writer, and (casual) golfer. The Argentinian was right in the mix all week and tied for second. As the Florida swing continues, the PGA Tour heads to Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando for the Arnold But before we down our tools for the week, look at the odds of the most recent winners of the Genesis Invitational. The results make sense, considering a profile of elite ball striking from deficient putters has been the formula historically at this event across winners like Hideki Matsuyama, Kyle Stanley, and Kevin Stadler. CJ Cup: Tyrrell Hatton. While Fowler didnt pull off the victory, he played quite well, outperforming his long odds to finish the tournament at 10 under, nine shots off Scottie Schefflers winning score and good enough for a T10, which means if you bet on him to finish in the top 10 as we did, you made a little money. Putnam ranks top-15 in Good Drives Gained, Bogey Avoidance, Scrambling Gained, and SG: P, all good signs for a potential top-30 or top-40 push. The odds leap from there as Max Homa (+2000), Collin Morikawa (+2100) and Will Zalatoris (+2100) round out the top-six. Mix in the fact hes gone fifth-eighth-15th-13th in his last four starts at API and youve got the recipe for a Florida Swing heater. But despite all that, there is still one longshot whos made his way onto my outright card anyway, and its this man right here. Now lets dig into some longshots. Note: prices listed Arnold Palmer Invitational pres. RELATED: Arnold Palmer Invitational picks 2023: Our DFS expert dives deep into Rory McIlroys staggering advanced metrics. Shriners: Emiliano Grillo. Christopher Powers, Golf Digest staff writer: Collin Morikawa (21-1, FanDuel) As much as Id love to make this a consensus Willy Z week, I have to stick with And most importantly, our experts have hit an outright winner in three consecutive weeksthanks to Christopher Powers 30-1 win on Chris Kirk last week. Lack: Hideki Matsuyama (66-1, BetMGM) This is a pure number play for me, as in my opinion, Hideki Matsuyama is a bonafide top-20 player in the world, despite the betting markets not treating him like one. I think this is a spot where we can fade Rahm, on a course that favors the drawers of the ball. Like Lowry, Fleetwood is built to contend at events like this. Houston Open: Aaron Wise. Skip to main content. Getting cheeky with these parlays hasnt been profitable but this one feels too good to pass up. Scottie Scheffler looks to defend his title at Bay Hill and is searching for his second win of 2023. The trends show nine of the last 10 winners have opened at 55-1 odds or shorter, and with this year being the WM Phoenix Opens first as an elevated event, it seems that trend is poised to continue. McDonald takes a measured approach to his outright selections and is having a profitable 2022-23 season. Your favorite teams, topics, and players all on your favorite mobile devices. Gdula: Tony Finau (+240, FanDuel) Its such a good field that even the top 10 will be hard for long shots to squeeze into with much success. Hes made the cut in 10 straight starts and has four top-12 finishes. Big South Tournament Odds: UNC Asheville, Longwood Knotted Atop Betting Market. Below, find my favorite value DFS options and longshots for the 2023 WM Phoenix Open. Gehman: Keegan Bradley (75-1, FanDuel) Bradley putted himself out of Los Angeles, losing nearly four strokes on the greens over just two rounds, resulting in an MC. The 2013 Masters champions odds-to-win the Genesis are +5500, which are better odds than you usually will find among our long-shot picks. Golf betting and fantasy expert Sia Nejad, who correctly called Genesis: Justin Thomas. Bermuda: Denny McCarthy. Mitchells ball-striking should put him in the mix here, and I love the Bermuda putting splits. CJ Cup: Matt Fitzpatrick. There are no weaknesses in his game, but perhaps this is a letdown spot and a chance for us to finally get some value on someone down the board (please)? It will be the final major of 2021 and the last of the six comprising the 2020-21 PGA Tour In terms of pure value, youd be hard pressed to find a better bet on the board than the former Masters champion. For our complete review, visit Bay Hill's Places to Play page here. He will in all likelihood lose strokes putting at Bay Hill this week as well. For the third straight week, one of our experts has cashed a winner, the latest being Christopher Powers, who tipped Chris Kirk at 30-1 to win the Honda Classic. A match play major for men and women makes perfect sense for the good of the game, on so many levels. This playercould pull off a STUNNING victory and cash in HUGE for anyone who backs him! Since a second-place finish at the Farmers Insurance Open, Keegan Bradley has tied for 20th at the WM Phoenix Open and missed the weekend at Riviera thanks to an opening-round 75. Standing just under 7,500 yards, Bay Hill presents similar challenges we come to expect in a major championship venue. Click on odds anywhere below to bet now on the best available prices in your state. Designed by John Steidel, China Creek Golf Course measures 2627 3 Jon Rahm once again earns the title of top betting favorite, with +750 odds-to-win. And youll find few whove shown more consistency here than Bradley. He finished 29th last week at THE PLAYERS Championship and 10th the week prior at the Arnold Palmer Invitational so he is playing some great Florida golf. Full Leaderboard . The Wake Forest connection with Arnold Palmer is obvious, but more so, hes very much like Rory in that hes a bomber who likes to move it from right to left. 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